NFL Week 5 Betting Preview - Bills vs. Chiefs


Photo: Jamie Squire

RJ Bell: "Homefield advantage used to be 3 in the NFL. Recent history says that's too much. Even if you discount last year, where there were no crowds, the year before it was almost breakeven home and road. This has changed from 20 years ago because travel is easier. The numbers tell us there's been a downward trajectory on the value of homefield to the point now that 2, 2.5, based on how good the homefield is, is the standard. Let's call it 2.5, because Kansas City has a pretty good crowd. This line has been moving towards 3, it's in between 2.5 and 3. So what does that tell us? The betting market right now believes the Buffalo Bills are inferior to Kansas City."

RJ Bell and AJ Hoffman discuss how to bet the Week 5 headlining matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs. The guys explain why they don't fully agree with the betting market's assessments of these 2 teams.


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