Blazin' 5: Colin Cowherd Gives His Five Best NFL Bets For Week 11
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2022 Blazin' 5 record: 44-37-4
2023 Blazin' 5 record: 22-22-6
Week 1: 0-5
Week 2: 0-4-1
Week 3: 2-1-2
Week 5: 5-0
Week 6: 2-3
Week 7: 3-2
Week 8: 2-1-2
Week 9: 2-3
Week 10: 2-2-1
Bears at Lions (SPREAD: DET -7.5)
"We're not getting the best of the number. I loved when it was 10, but I'll take the Bears +7.5. Remember, the Lions play a short-week on Thursday [Thanksgiving] against the rival Packers. Justin Fields missed a month, he's back, and he played very well in his last two games before the injury completing 67% of his throws. That was the Justin Fields before he got hurt. The Bears also have an excellent run defense. They will force Detroit to throw it -- which is fine, but they won't dominate the ground like they did in the first half against the Chargers. The Lions are good but they've given up 35+ points in two of their last three games. The Lions give up big plays, Justin Fields can deliver on those. The Lions are looking ahead to Green Bay, Bears cover, Lions win, but I'll take the 7.5, 28-23."
Colin's prediction: Lions 28, Bears 23.
Colin's pick: Chicago +7.5
Raiders at Dolphins (SPREAD: MIA -12.5)
“I'll take the Dolphins -12.5 in a blowout. Offensive coach, at home, and coming off a bye -- like it? I LOVE IT. They're 4-0 at home this year, are the Dolphins. Their offense is number one in the league when they play at home in virtually every category: points, yards per play-- Miami at home is a handful, and Tua at home is unbelievable. Basically the Miami Dolphins are the Dallas Cowboys. As a home favorite over an average team they crush them. They're 6-0 against losing teams, they're the Mike Tyson of the NFL. The Raiders' two wins under their interim coach have come against the Giants and the Jets, BAD teams. The Raiders been held to 16 or fewer in three of the last four games. Aiden O'Connell on third down since he's started: 27% rate. This is going to be a blowout, they're just not going to be able to keep up. This is the Cowboys, this is the Dolphins; home favorite they win big, 40-24, Miami."
Colin's prediction: Dolphins 40, Raiders 24.
Colin's pick: Dolphins -12.5
Seahawks at Rams (SPREAD: SEA -1)
"I've shifted in the last 12 hours, I'm going to take the Rams +1. They are the healthiest they've been in a long time. McVay, in 8 of 9 games against Pete Carroll has covered. Stafford has been great against the Seahawks, but the story here is that Seattle is regressing. Turnovers are way up for Geno Smith. They're now 30th in the NFL on third down offense, they can't move the chains, they're ugly, I don't know what's happened. Seattle's defense is regressing too. They're 30th on third down defense, so you do move the chains. The Rams are healthy, I get an offensive coach off a bye, Matt Stafford is back, he's got his weapons... I like the Rams to win here, 27-24."
Colin's prediction: Rams 27, Seahawks 24.
Colin's pick: Los Angeles +1
Jets at Bills (SPREAD: BUF -7)
“I like this game, Bills -7, I'm going to take it. Teams that are embarrassed on national TV, 12 men on the field, have an intense week of practice. Teams that replace coaches, coordinators have a very focused week of practice. Buffalo has a top 10 scoring offense, second-most sacks in the league. The Jets o-line is a mess. Generally, bad o-lines are worse on the road. This is still a team with the best point differential by any team .500 or worse. The Jets offense is dreadful, Garrett Wilson is not 100% and may not play. Zach Wilson has a 74 passer rating, the lowest in the league. This is a pass rush, Buffalo at home, humiliated, desperate team, they're going to roll, 28-13. I'll swallow the points over the Jets."
Colin's prediction: Bills 28, Jets 13.
Colin's pick: Buffalo -7
Eagles at Chiefs (SPREAD: KC -2.5) [Monday Night Football]
“Wiseguys like Kansas City, I like Philly +2.5. Jalen Hurts plus points? By the way, both teams are coming off a bye, and Nick Sirianni is 3-0 off a bye too, so I don't think that's as big of an advantage. Jalen Hurts wins these games. He is 12-0 in his last 12 games against winning teams. The story though is Kansas City. Their second half offense-- once they get off-script they're inept. Their offense has been held under 300 total yards in back-to-back games. They're a bad, not mediocre, they're a BAD second half offense. Why? Their receiving corps is weak. Once they get out of scripted plays by Andy Reid they're a water pistol. They are not a good offense in the second half off-script. Philadelphia is often a better second half team with a better offensive line, and the better defensive line. And by the way, the Super Bowl, it's something, not a lot, I'm going to take Philadelphia to control the second half, take the points, they win outright -- good moneyline bet -- 30-24, Philadelphia."
Colin's prediction: Eagles 30, Chiefs 24.
Colin's pick: Philadelphia +2.5